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2023年02月09日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Thu, 2023 February 9 06:18

黄金外汇日评:隔夜美元小幅回升,非美走势分化。昨日美盘时段,多位美联储官员发表讲话。美联储理事库克认为,政策利率的路径将取决于通胀向2%目标迈进的速度。纽约联储主席威廉姆斯表示,美联储将需要在几年内维持限制性利率。美联储理事沃勒表示,遏制通胀的工作“尚未完成”,可能是一场“长期斗争”。利率维持在高位的时间可能比目前一些人预期的要长。三位官员的立场都明显倾向于鹰派。2023票委美联储卡什卡利则表示:“我们将在很长一段时间保持利率不变,然后决定利率是上升还是下降。”相比之下,他的观点更趋于中立。美元也一度得到明显提振,短线延续上行的概率较高。

美元收出小阳线,继续沿5日均线稳步上行,5日,10日均线金叉扩大,日线RSI升至50上方,103仍为下方关键支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试104,104.5。

黄金收十字阳线,上探5日均线,5日,10日均线仍下搭呈死叉,且死叉未有明显修复,日线RSI位于50附近,4小时于1880附近再度遇阻回落,后市有望延续下行并测试1860。

原油日线呈前进三兵,上破10日均线,短期均线死叉缩小,日线RSI升至50附近,78为上方第一关键阻力,后市有望延续上行并测试,78,81-83。

欧美小幅阴跌,仍受5日均线压制,5日,10日均线呈空头排列,日线RSI跌破50,1.0770附近多次面临强压,后市有望延续下行并测试1.07,1.0660。

镑美继续小幅反弹,回升至5日均线附近,但多头力量仍有限,1.2080一线压力始终未能有效升破,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注1.20-1.2120区间。

澳美收流星阴线,继续承压于5日均线,于0.70关口受阻回落,下探上行通道下沿,日线RSI徘徊于50附近,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注0.69-0.70区间。

美日收小阳线,回踩5日,10日均线企稳,且两根均线仍呈金叉,131.5仍为关键节点,日线RSI位于50附近,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注130.5-133区间。

白银冲高回落,继续受5日均线压制,5日,10日均线呈空头排列,日线RSI位于低位,多头动能有限,22关口存在一定支撑,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注22-23区间。

A50日线呈空方炮,13600一线压力未能有效上破,短期均线仍呈死叉,日线RSI进一步跌破50,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注13000-13600区间。

2023年02月09日 许曦扬

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