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2023年01月10日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Tue, 2023 January 10 02:28

黄金外汇日评:周一美元再度下挫,跌破新低。非美普遍走高。2024美联储票委,旧金山联储主席戴利表示,在即将到来的1月31日至2月1日的会议上,加息50个基点或25个基点都有可能,但亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克称,在校准利率方面“更加谨慎”是合适的,利率可能会保持在高位一直到2024年。货币市场的押注显示,美联储2月政策会议上加息25个基点的几率为75%,预计到6月将达到略低于5%的终端利率。

目前市场正在等待美联储主席鲍威尔周二在斯德哥尔摩举行的央行会议上发言,并密切关注将于后半周公布的美国消费者物价指数(CPI)数据,这可能为美国加息路径提供更多线索。

美元连续2日阴跌,承压于5日均线,且刺破日线布林下轨,打破此前震荡区间,日线RSI继续走低,后市有望延续下行并测试102.6。

黄金收出倒锤线,徘徊于日线布林上轨附近,1880上方面临强压,5日,10日均线金叉扩大,日线RSI位于高位,1865一线存在一定支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试1890。

原油收出流星阳线,5日,10日均线仍下搭呈死叉,多头动能仍有限,日线RSI位于50下方,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注70-81区间。

欧美升破前高,上破日线布林上轨,1.07关口成为下方关键支撑,日线RSI位于高位,后市有望延续上行并测试1.0770,1.08。

镑美收出长阳柱,升破日线布林中轨,上探1.22关口压力,5日,10日均线拐头上行,短线趋势转多,后市有望延续上行并测试1.2240。

澳美一举破高,布林带及短期均线呈多头排列,0.6880-0.69成为下方强劲支撑带,日线RSI进一步上扬,后市有望延续上行并测试0.6970,0.70。

美日收出十字星,今日再度开跌,仍受短期均线压制,仍处于震荡下行格局,日线RSI位于低位,后市有望延续下行并测试130.5。

白银冲高回落,5日,10日均线交错粘合,仍未摆脱区间震荡格局,日线RSI徘徊于50附近,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注23-24.5区间。

A50收高位十字星,上探日线布林上轨,短期均线金叉扩大,13600一线面临强压,后市有望延续震荡上行并测试13600,14000。

2023年01月10日 许曦扬

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